U.S.-Cuba Policy

Will U.S. Interests Trump Miami?

After an introduction by Patrick Doherty, the Deputy Director of the American Strategy Program and Director of the U.S.-Cuba 21st Century Policy Initiative at New America, Anne Louise Bardach discussed the her recently published book Without Fidel: A Death Foretold in Miami, Havana, and Washington. Bardach described how an article primarily focused on the Cubana Airlines attack and exiled Cuban militants, including Luis Posada Carriles, transformed into a three-part book covering Fidel Castro's long death, the Castro fascination, and Raul Castro's new reign. The book contains inside accounts and stories collected by Bardach in her 20 years of covering Cuba and the United States, in what she described as the book for which she, "kissed the visas to Cuba goodbye forever."

Bardach then analyzed the most recent purge in March of the top figures in the Cuban government, concluding that the purge was a result of Raul Castro wanting his own people in positions of power. According to Bardach, the Cuban government today has been militarized and is now running as "Raul's Army." While Raul has placed individuals loyal to him in top government positions, he is still absolutely loyal to his ailing brother, Fidel Castro, who retains the ultimate veto power. Bardach argued that this relationship and the primacy of stability and security for the Castro Family, the military, and government institutions direct the incremental pace of reform that has begun under Raul. However, Bardach also argues, that while these reforms, such as allowing Cubans access to computers and tourist facilities, may seem cosmetic, in reality, they are important steps by Raul Castro towards addressing complaints of the Cuban people.

The rest of the event addressed questions about particulars in the trial of Luis Posada Carriles, the Cuban exile allegedly involved with the Cubana Airplane taken down in 1976 and the Cuban hotel bombings in 1997, which Bardach has covered extensively with colleagues from the New York Times. While Bardach could only make limited comments about the case, she passionately called for an investigation into who closed the Posada case in 2003 and how the evidence was handled and destroyed at that time.

In response to questions on the path to normalization in US-Cuba relations, Bardach answered that the Obama Administration has moved slowly and judiciously. She stated that by the end of the Obama's term, we can expect relations to return to what they were during the Clinton era. There are still challenges to normalized relations, largely because the embargo is codified in US law. However, Bardach concluded that in 50 years the showdown between the largest Superpower in the world and the Caribbean island will end with the U.S. gaining little to nothing, at best, with an improved relationship with Cuba in the future.

Participants

featured speaker
Anne Louise Bardach
Author, Without Fidel: A Death Foretold in Miami, Havana, and Washington
Author, Cuba Confidential: Love and Vengeance in Miami and Havana

moderator
Patrick Doherty
Deputy Director, American Strategy Program
New America Foundation

Event Time and Location

Wednesday, October 14, 2009 - 12:15pm - 1:45pm
New America Foundation
1899 L Street NW Suite 400
Washington, DC 20036

Event Materials

Event Photos

A range of photos from this event are available on Flickr. Click on the icon at left to view or download the photos.